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Oil has reached a year-high of nearly $63 a barrel as Iran and Venezuela are continuing to raise international tensions with their political positions. In this blog entry, we will take a look at Jim Cramer's position on what this means for the long-term profitability of the energy sector and where investors can look for covered call trading positions.
An audio podcast of this article is available at:
What exactly moves oil prices? It can be decreased supply or increased demand, but in recent weeks analysts are unanimous on agreeing it is international tensions. Jim Cramer stated in an online interview yesterday, "First it is important to note that it is international tension moving oil. There is a bit of a glut of oil, so oil has been going in the mid-50s. "
What will this do to the profits of the oil companies? Because the market is pricing in uncertainties, and if there are no real cost associated with the increased revenue, profits will increase. Jim Cramer stated, "It is important to remember that this is soon to re-ignite earnings. " He also observed, "It's already re-igniting the whole drilling complex. "
As for the target price of oil Cramer stated, "This is genuine tension and I'm surprised oil isn't at 65 or 67. . . I have been a bull on oil and do not think it goes below the $50 range, in fact the $53 to $63 seems very right to me. "
Cramer is perplexed as to why Gulf and Canadian drilling has decreased in recent years stating, "The irony is that we [the US] have dramatically dropped drilling. The President seems oblivious to this. I don't want to pick on the President because there are so many things going wrong with Gonzales and Iraq. But we're not drilling in the Gulf and we're not drilling in Canada. "
All of the following have 54 days until expiration. These trades were discovered using the powerful suite of option search tools found at .
|PowerOptions covered call search ENERGY Sector (54 days)
||buy astelin in us align="center">Stock
||07 MAY $50. 00
||07 MAY $50. 00
||07 MAY $65. 00
||07 MAY $70. 00
(For more details click the ticker symbol above)
OXY - Occidental Petroleum Corp. is a crude oil production company. This trade involves the May $50 and offers 3. 3% downside protection and 6. 2% potential profit if the stock is above the $50 strike price at the end of the option period.
GMT - GATX Corp. is a railway company engaging heavily in the transport of petroleum. This trade involves the [buy astelin in us
] May $50 and offers 3. 2% downside protection and 5. 3% potential profit if the stock is above the $50 strike price at the end of the option period.
VLO - Valero Energy Corp. is an oil refining and retailing company. This trade involves the May $65 and offers 4. 0% downside protection and 5. 1% potential profit if the stock is above the $65 strike price at the end of the option period.
COP - Conoco Phillips Corp. is the famous worldwide integrated oil company. This trade involves the May $70 and offers 3. 6% downside protection and 4. 3% potential profit if the stock is above the $70 strike price at the end of the option period.
Competitors for OXY include: EI DuPont de Nemours & Co. (), Exxon Mobil Corp. (), and Sasol Ltd. ().
Competitors for GMT include: ACF Industries LLC (private), GE Equipment Services (private), TTX Company (private), and Greenbrier Companies Inc. (The) ().
Competitors for VLO include: BP plc (), Chevron Corp. (), Exxon Mobil Corp. (), Alon USA Energy Inc. (), Frontier Oil Corp. (), Giant Industries Inc. (), Holly Corp. (), Tesoro Petroleum Corp. (), and Western Refining Inc. ().
Competitors for COP include: BP plc (), Chevron Corp. (), Exxon Mobil Corp. (), Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (), Chesapeake Energy Corp. (), Devon Energy Corp. (), Hess Corp. (), Quicksilver Resources Inc. () buy astelin in us
, and Western Refining Inc. ().
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