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Do Jim Cramer's on his TV program Mad Money translate into opportunities to make real money, or is the real product of his show purely real viagra "entertainment" (so to speak)? A person investing equal amounts into Jim Cramer's buy recommendations for 2006 would currently have experienced a loss of -5. 6% in their , according to the results listed at: . Even short-term (less than 20 days) of Cramer's buy recommendations only generates returns in the +0. 4% range. Maybe Cramer's record is not too bad considering the S&P 500 Index is down about -1% since the first of the year and down about -6% from its high for the year. It's possible following Cramer's long-term will make for a successful investor, but what about in the short-term? Since Jim Cramer's influence is so broad and widely followed, we were curious to know if his had any short-term temporary effects on market prices. We theorized Cramer's [real viagra] produced "artificial pops" in the price of equities, and therefore we have analyzed Jim Cramer's buy recommendations for 2006 for shorting opportunities. For this analysis, we only analyzed the first buy recommendation for any particular company, subsequent buy recommendations were ignored, and we only considered shorting positions having immediate positive movement following a Jim Cramer buy recommendation. We analyzed 565 of Jim Cramer's "first-time" buy and found 67. 8% of those tips resulted in a positive movement immediately following the stock tip. We pushed the analysis even further and discovered a potential strategy for shorting Cramer's buy tips:

  • Determine all positions having positive 1st day return after buy recommendation
  • Short positions retaining a positive return on the 10th market day after a buy rec.
  • Close positions 10 market days after going short (20 market days after initial buy rec. )
For each of Cramer's positive first-time stock trading tips we analyzed the data based on the percent of movement for the 10th market day following the recommendation. The results of this analysis are shown below:
% movement on 10th market day greater than % of 565 Buy recommendations % success rate of shorting potential profit (excluding fees)
0. 00% 45. 10% 53. 70% 0. 90%
2. 00% 35. 40% 56. 00% 1. 20%
4. 00% 27. 30% 57. 10% 1. 40%
6. 00% 19. 60% 60. 40% 1. 70%
8. 00% 13. 30% 61. 30% 2. 00%
10. 00% 10. 30% 63. 80% 2. 20%
12. 00% 7. 60% 62. 80% 2. 50%
14. 00% 5. 80% 60. 60% 3. 60%
16. 00% 4. 80% 59. 30% 3. 60%
18. 00% 3. 20% 55. 60% 4. 70%
20. 00% 2. 50% 50. 00% 0. 90%
22. 00% 2. 50% 50. 00% 0. 90%
24. 00% 2. 10% 58. 30% 1. 20%
26. 00% 1. 60% 66. 70% 2. 80%
28. 00% 1. 40% 62. 50% 2. Real viagra 30%
30. 00% 1. 10% 66. 70% 5. 60%
32. 00% 0. 70% 75. 00% 7. 10%
For example, shorting 3. 2% of Jim Cramer's buy recommendations (18 positions) with a movement greater than 18% would have yielded a success rate of 55. 6% and a net profit of 4. 7%. A detailed analysis of this scenario is shown below:
Company Ticker Buy Rec. Date (2006) Short on 10th day after buy rec. Close on 20th day after buy rec. Potential Return
Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc 01/30 15. 43 14. 63 5. 20%
ADA-ES Inc ADES 01/04 23. 28 21. 99 5. 50%
Alkermes Inc 01/03 24. 57 23. 42 4. 70%
AngioDynamics Inc ANGO 03/13 29. 01 29. 11 -0. 30%
Avanex Corp AVNX 03/13 3. 01 3. 03 -0. 70%
Broadwing Cor 03/02 12. 33 14. 69 -19. 10%
Calgon Carbon Corp CCC 01/04 7. 66 7. 13 6. 90%
Cynosure Inc CYNO 01/18 21. 51 19. 93 7. 40%
Energy Conversion Devices Inc 01/03 56. 13 49. 34 12. 10%
National Beverage Corp 04/04 13. 91 15. 61 -12. 20%
Corning Inc 01/03 25. 24 25. 05 0. 80%
Intermagnetics General Corp 01/03 25. 6 26. 76 -4. 50%
International Securities Exchange Inc 01/13 37. 15 37. 2 -0. 10%
Level 3 Communications Inc 03/23 5. 17 4. 97 3. 90%
REDIFF. COM INDIA ADS REDF 01/24 27. 55 24. 36 11. 60%
OccuLogix Inc 01/12 11. 87 3. 38 71. 50%
Sirenza Microdevices Inc SMDI 01/25 7. 49 7. 99 -6. 70%
UNDER ARMOUR INC 01/04 38. 78 39. 42 -1. 70%
Average 4. 70%
From this we see the lion's share of the return is from a single position, OccuLogix, but even with the OccuLogix position removed, the average return is still +0. 7%. For seeking a for "going short", there are several strategies available, and for example. provides a search engine for finding potential generating positions for various strategies for those seeking to "go short". [tags]stock trading real viagra, stock market strategies, investing strategies, option investors[/tags]


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