Stock Option Trading News

Fertilizer is Smelling Good – Covered Calls

The stock prices of companies manufacturing and selling fertilizer have been blasting off over the previous year. When most people hear about fertilizer they think about the smelly byproduct stuff from animals. But a large majority of fertilizer is manufactured from natural gas and the price of natural gas is cheaper than it was a year ago. Fertilizer manufacturers have benefited from the lower prices for natural gas.

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US Productivity Down – Temp Staffing Up – Kforce (KFRC)

U.S. productivity slowed in the fourth quarter of 2006 and labor costs were on the rise. Nonfarm productivity increased only 1.6% the last quarter of 2006, significantly down from the original estimate of 3%. Unit labor costs increased 6.6% in the last quarter, significantly up from previous estimates of 1.7%. This bodes well for the temporary staffing industry. As the labor market tightens and labor costs rise, companies will shift to staffing with more temporary labor. And when the economy slows down, as it always does, temporary staffing will allow companies to more easily reduce their workforces.

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AMD vs. Intel (INTC) – Semiconductor War

For many years AMD was more of a nuisance than competition for Intel (INTC), but in recent years AMD has provided some pretty good competition for Intel. AMD recently warned it would not meet its projected revenue for the first quarter of 2007, mostly a result of Intel putting significant pressure on AMD’s profit margins. AMD recently acquired graphics and chipset semiconductor maker ATI hoping to gain a competitive edge over Intel through integration of the two company’s products, but positive results from the merger will take time to come to fruition, so AMD’s short term prospects are looking pretty grim.

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El Paso (EP) – Natural Gas – Covered Calls

In a previous article, “Texas Utilities (TXU) Merger & Jim Cramer: Opportunity in Coal”, we analyzed the private equity acquisition of Texas Utilities and some of the potential ramifications of the deal. As part of the deal, Texas Utilities (TXU) will forgo building 11 new coal fired electric power plants. Another potential fallout from this deal is an increase in the demand for other sources of electrical energy, natural gas in particular. Electric energy consumption is not decreasing, so the electrical energy, which was to be generated by the 11 scuttled TXU coal fired power plants, has to come from someplace, and one potential avenue could be from natural gas.

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Lance (LNCE) Snack Foods – Long Term Sales/Earnings Growth

Lance Inc. (LNCE) released its fourth quarter earnings Monday in a report showing profit more than tripling over the same period one year ago. But higher commodity prices, such as flour and corn, as well as less than anticipated sales of cookies and crackers slightly decreased results in the fourth quarter causing the stock to be below Wall Street estimates.